AWIS Weather Forecast: FROST Ahead in NC

AWIS Weather Forecast: Frost threat increases this weekend.

In collaboration with AWIS Weather Services



Dear all,

For most cultivars, bud break has already happened on Winegrapes at lower elevations in the Yadkin Valley, the coast or the Southern Foothills. Higher elevations in the Yadkin Valley should be at budswell at this point of time in the early cultivars.

Trends of warm and cold weather and heavy rainfalls in between will continue over the next two weeks. Highest frost threats will be Sunday (4/10) and Monday (4/11) mornings, with some areas in the West seeing Frost already on Saturday (4/9).

These will be radiational events, so the use of wind machines to protect your tissue will help, especially Sunday and Monday night! Due to higher windspeed on Saturday, we do not recommend to use windmachines on Saturday.

Also overhead irrigation measures should help to mitigate damage during those threats.

General Discussion

*** Freeze/Frost Threat Returns *** Warmer Next Week

A continued trend of multiple upper level disturbances moving
from West to East will prevail in the next couple weeks.

This will mean the recent trends of showers and storm
chances every few days, with warming ahead of each one, and
colder behind them to continue.

Highest freeze and frost risks looks to be Sunday (4/10) and Monday (4/11) morning,
but a few Western and Northern areas could experience
or frost as early as Saturday morning.

Warmer temperatures are likely to resume Sunday afternoon through the middle of next week.

Temperatures Maps & Recommendations


Map showing East Coast minimum temperature forecast, Saturday 04/09/2022, color legend in deg F
Map: East Coast minimum temperature forecast Sunday 04/10/2022 with color scale in deg F
East Coast minimum temperature forecast map — Monday 04/11/2022; color scale in °F

Figure 1: Minimum Temperatures for the region from 4/9-4/11 2022.

Please monitor you current weather, and especially predicted wet bulb and dewpoint temperatures for your location. We are facing a frost threat in the coming days. Clear nights with min temperatures in the 30s can already cause damage to tender tissue!

The use of win machines on Sunday and Monday night or the use of overhead sprinklers should protect your tissue from the predicted frost threat this weekend.

If overhead sprinklers are used, it is important to start early, especially with low predicted dew-points.

Table 1. Relationship to predicted dew point and start of overhead irrigation for frost protection.

Predicted dew point Start irrigation at:
26 F 34 F
25 to 24 35
23 to 22 36
21 to 20 37
19 to 17 38
16 to 15 39



Detailed Regional Forecasts:


North Carolina



South Carolina:



Georgia:



Virginia: