Hurricane Florence Update for Grape Growers (9/12/18)

— Written By

Dear Grape Community,

Many have contacted me two days ago and asked me to give a new weather update on the development of the Hurricane. I’ve waited another day to rely on more certain data on the path and the intensity of the storm. I have attached detailed weather information for all areas affected at the East Coast, including Georgia, South Carolina and Virginia.

A. The new Situation:

Florence will make landfall in the next 24h at the Carolina Coast. It is predicted then to move slowly down the coast, pretty much along I 95 towards SOUTH CAROLINA, before it will turn inwards as a Tropical Storm on Saturday afternoon and will bring heavy rain to the Mountain area by end of this week/begin of next week.

Please see Figure 1-3 for detailed information

Projected path of Hurricane Florence

Figure 1: Predicted paths of Hurricane Florence. Almost all models predict a path more south than two days ago. 

Predicted path of Hurricane Florence with impact radius

Figure 2: Predicted paths of Hurricane Florence with impact radius.

Predicted windspeeds of Hurricane Florence

Figure 3: Predicted wind speeds of Hurricane Florence.

B. Safe your crop:

As I have mentioned in my earlier blog post, first and foremost, you and your family should be safe!

Prepare yourself, have enough food and water at home, have batteries, flashlights and a radio. Please visit our Disaster Information Center (https://ncdisaster.ces.ncsu.edu/) to gain updates and information on how to prepare for the incoming Hurricane.

COASTAL PLAINS:

If you are in an affected area at the COAST east of I 95 in NORTH CAROLINA and SOUTH CAROLINA, you will experience heavy wind gusts with potential destructive force to your trellis systems and vines. If you are close to harvest, try to get as many grapes in as possible before the end of today!!!! Try to reduce the canopy on your vines and move ALL equipment out of the field be the end of today!

PIEDMONT AND YADKIN VALLEY:

With the new course of the hurricane, it looks like the NC Piedmont region and the Yadkin Valley won’t be affected by high wind gusts and only by moderate rain.

MOUNTAINS:

The Mountains will experience heavy rain falls from Saturday to Monday/Tuesday, based on the current predictions. Depending on your crop status, harvest before the rain is advised. Fungicide applications on your red varieties is advised too, since Botrytis spores can move around with rain very quickly.

C. Detailed Weather Forecast:

North Carolina:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Ahoskie-Tri-Cou Albemarle_AP Andrews Asheboro
Asheville_Munic Beaufort-Michae Boone_NC Burlington-Burl
Cape_Hatteras_AG Chapel_Hill-Hor Charlotte Cherry_Point
Clinton_NC Concord_NC Currituck_NC Edenton-Northea
Elizabeth_City Elizabethtown_NC Erwin-Harnett_C Fayetteville_AP
Fort_Bragg/Simm Franklin/Macon_C Gastonia-Gaston Goldsboro_AFB
Goldsboro_NC Greensboro Greenville_AP_NC Hickory
Jacksonville Jacksonville_(A Jefferson_AP_NC Kenansville-Dup
Kill_Devil_Hills Kinston_AP Lexington-David Lincolnton_AP
Louisburg_NC Lumberton_AP_NC Mackall_AAF Manteo/Dare_Co
Maxton Mcalf_Bogue_Fiel Monroe_AP_NC Morganton-Morga
Mount_Airy-Moun New_Bern North_Wilkesbor Oxford_NC
Piney_Island_Bom Pope_AFB Raleigh-Durham Reidsville_AP
Roanoke_Rap_AP Roanoke_Rapids_R Rockingham_NC Rocky_Mount-Wils
Roxboro_AP Rutherfordton Salisbury-Rowan Sanford_NC
Shelby_AP_NC Smithfield_AP Southern_Pines Southport_NC
Statesville-Sta Tarboro_AP Wadesboro_AP Washington-Warr
Whiteville_NC Wilmington_AP_NC Winston-Salem

SOUTH CAROLINA!!!!

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Aiken_AP Anderson_Co_Air Barnwell_AP Beaufort_Cnty_AP
Beaufort_SC Bennettsville_Je Camden_AP Charleston_Exec_
Charleston_Muni Cheraw_AP Chester_AP Clemson-Clemson
Columbia-Columb Columbia/McEnti Columbia_Metro Conway_AP
Darlington Florence_SC Georgetown_AP_SC Greenville_Donal
Greenville_Down Greenville-Spart Greenwood-Green Hartsville_AP
Hilton_Head_AP Kingstree_AP Lancaster-McWhir Laurens_AP
Manning_AP Marion_AP_SC Moncks_Corner_AP Mount_Pleasant_A
Myrtle_Beach Newberry_AP North_Myrtle_Be Orangeburg-Oran
Pickens_AP Rock_Hill Spartanburg_Down Summerville_AP
Sumter_AP Sumter_SC Walterboro_AP Winnsboro_AP

Georgia:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Albany_Municipa Alma/Bacon_Co Americus_AP Athens_Municipa
Atlanta/DeKalb Atlanta/Fulton Atlanta_Intl_Ar Atlanta_Paulding
Augusta/Bush_Fi Augusta_Daniel_F Bainbridge_GA Blakely_AP
Brunswick_GA Brunswick/Glync Canton_GA Carrollton_AP
Cartersville_AP Claxton_AP Columbus_GA Covington_GA_AP
Dalton-Dalton_M Douglas_Muni Dublin/WHBarron Fitzgerald_AP
Fort_Benning Ft_Stewart/Wrig Gainesville_AP_G Greensboro_GA
Homerville_AP Hunter_(AAF) Jesup_AP La_Grange
Lakeland Lawrenceville_AP Macon_AP Marietta
Marietta/Cobb Milledgeville_AP Moultrie_Muni_AP Newnan-Newnan_C
Peachtree_City Rome_GA Savannah Statesboro_GA
Swainsboro_AP Sylvania_AP_GA Thomaston_AP Thomasville_AP
Thomson_GA Tifton_AP Valdosta Valdosta/Moody
Vidalia Warner_Robins_A Washington_GA Washington_GA
Waycross_AP Winder_AP

Alabama:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Alabaster Albertville_AP Alexander_City_A Andalusia/Opp
Anniston_AP Auburn_Opelika Birmingham_AP Cullman/Folsom
Decatur_AL_AP Dothan_AP Eufaula_AP Evergreen
Florala_AP Fort_Payne_AL Ft_Rucker_Lowe Ft_Rucker_Ozark
Gadsden_AP Greenville_AP_AL Gulf_Shores_AP Haleyville_Posey
Huntsville_AL_AP Huntsville_Exec Jasper_AP Maxwell_AFB
Mobile_Bates Mobile_Downtown Montgomery_AL_AP Muscle_Shoals
Redstone_Arsenal Troy_Municipal Tuscaloosa_AP

Tennessee:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Chattanooga/Lov Clarksville_TN Crossville_AP Dyersburg
Elizabethton_AP Jackson_TN Knoxville_AP Memphis_AP
Millington Nashville_Metro Oak_Ridge_TN Smyrna
Tri-City_RGNL_AP

Kentucky:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Bowling_Green Covington Danville-Powell_ Fort_Campbell
Fort_Knox/Godma Frankfort_AP Glasgow_KY Henderson_City
Jackson_KY Lexington_KY London_Corbin Louisville_AP
Louisville/Bowm Middlesboro_AP Monticello_KY_AP Murray_AP
Owensboro_AP Paducah Richmond_Madison Somerset(AWOS)

Virginia:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Abingdon Ashland_VA Charlottesville Chesapeake-Ches
Culpeper Danville Dublin/New_Riv Emporia_VA
Farmville Fentress_Naval_A Fort_Belvoir/Da Fort_Eustis/Fel
Franklin/J_B_Ro Hillsville Hot_Springs/Ing Jonesville_AP
Langley_AFB Leesburg/Godfre Louisa-Louisa_C Lynchburg
Manassas_Muni(A Marion/Wythev Martinsville Mecklenburg/Bru
Melfa/Accomack Newport_News Norfolk_Hampton_ Norfolk_NAS
Norfolk_VA Oceana Orange_VA Petersburg_(AWO
Quantico Richlands_AP Richlands_VA Richmond
Richmond_Chester Roanoke Shannon_Arpt Stafford_AP_VA
Staunton-Shenan Suffolk-Suffolk Tappahannock_AP Virginia_Tech_A
Wakefield_AP Wallops_Island Warrenton_Fauqui Washington_Dulle
West_Point_VA Williamsburg_VA Winchester_Rgnl Wise/Lonesome_P

West Virginia:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Beckley_Memoria Bluefield/Merce Buckhannon_AP Charleston_WV
Clarksburg/Bene Elkins Huntington Lewisburg_3N
Martinsburg Morgantown Parkersburg Petersburg_WV
Pineville_AP Point_Pleasant Sutton_AP Wheeling

Maryland:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Aberdeen Andrews_AFB Annapolis_Naval Baltimore_Sci_Ce
Baltimore/Wash Cambridge/Dorche College_Park_AP Cumberland_AP
Easton_MD Fort_Meade Frederick_MD Gaithersburg_AP
Hagerstown_AP Leonardtown Middle_River Oakland_MD_AP
Ocean_City_AP Patuxent_River Salisbury Stevensville_AP
St_Inigoes/Webst Washington_DC_AP Westminster_AP

Delaware:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Dover_AFB Georgetown_AP Wilmington_DE

Pennsylvania:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:
Allentown-Bethl Allentown-Queen_ Altoona/Blair_C Beaver_Falls_Ar
Bradford_Region Butler_Co_(AWO Clearfield Coatesville_AP
Doylestown_AP Du_Bois Erie Fountain_Dale_HE
Franklin_AP Harrisburg_AP Indiana_PA Johnstown_AP
Lancaster_AP Latrobe/Westmor Meadville-Port Middletown
Mt_Pocono Muir_AAF/Indian New_Castle_Muni Philadelphia
Philadelphia_NE Philadelphia_Win Pittsburgh/Alle Pittsburgh_Intl
Pottstown Quakertown Reading_AP Selinsgrove-Pen
State_College Washington_(AWO Wilkes-Barre/Sc Williamsport_AP
York_AP

I hope that helps!

Feel free to contact your local extension agent or me with questions.

Stay safe,

Mark Hoffmann