Hurricane Irma: Forecast for Counties

— Written By

We all send out our prayers and thoughts to our friends in Florida, many of who are currently already in a shelter or had to flee their homes. Although it looks like the Carolinas will be spared for the most part, our weather in the coming week will be highly affected by Hurricane Irma.

Quincy Adams and I were discussing Hurricane Irma while I was visiting his farm today. Prediction models of wind and rainfall for the next few days are now pretty reliable (http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml) and I decided to give an overview of what weather you can expect in your county:

Please look up your region. Many counties, especially in the Northwest North Carolina, are not heavily affected and you might be fine. If you are in a region which is affected by heavy rainfall and/or wind, try to harvest before Monday.

I hope everyone stays safe!

Mark

Tropical Strom Warnings:

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED: Daniel Island – Red Bank Landing – Cainhoy – Goose Creek – Moncks Corner – Saint Stephen – Summerville – Ridgeville – Saint George – Hampton – Estill – Early Branch – Walterboro – Cottageville – Smoaks – Allendale – Martin – Sylvania – Newington – Hilltonia – Millen – Scarboro – Charleston – McClellanville – Edisto Island  

* WIND    Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind    Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph    Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Monday morning        until Monday afternoon

* FLOODING RAIN    – LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect        – Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher          amounts

 

Northeastern South Carolina and Southeastern North Carolina:

http://www.weather.gov/ilm/

Counties: Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Horry-Inland Georgetown

Winds: 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be possible.

Rainfall: Widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected

and may lead to localized flooding in poor drainage areas. Isolated

tornadoes could also develop on the outer periphery of Irma`s

circulation.

Central South Carolina:

http://www.weather.gov/cae/

Counties: Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Richmond-Burke-McCormick-Newberry-Edgefield-Saluda-Lexington-Richland-Aiken-Barnwell-Orangeburg-Calhoun-Bamberg Including the cities of Lincolnton, Thomson, Martinez, Evans,Hephzibah, Waynesboro, Mccormick, Newberry, Edgefield, Johnston,Saluda, Ridge Spring, Seven Oaks, West Columbia, Cayce,Lexington, Red Bank, Oak Grove, Columbia, Aiken, North Augusta,Barnwell, Williston, Blackville, Orangeburg, Brookdale,St. Matthews, Bamberg, and Denmark  …LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PMEDT SUNDAY… …HIGH WIND WATCH FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM HURRICANEIRMA IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT… The National Weather Service in Columbia has issued a Lake WindAdvisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM EDTSunday. A High Wind Watch has also been issued. This High WindWatch is in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night. * TIMING…Lake Wind Advisory from 8 PM tonight through 8 PM  Sunday. High Wind Watch from 8 AM Monday through 2 AM Tuesday. * WINDS…Tonight and Sunday 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Monday and Monday night, 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

 

Western North Carolina and Southwest South Carolina

http://www.weather.gov/gsp/

Counties: Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-

Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-

Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-

Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-

Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-

McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-

Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-

Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-

Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-

Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont

North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

Sunday through Friday.

..Sunday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Monday…Tropical Storm hazards possible. Hurricane Irma is

expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves north across

Georgia early next week. Excessive rainfall, strong wind gusts, and

isolated tornadoes will be possible across the western Carolinas and

northeast Georgia as Irma approaches Monday and Monday night.

..Tuesday…Tropical Storm hazards possible.

..Wednesday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Thursday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Friday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 

 

Central North Carolina

http://www.weather.gov/rah/

Counties: Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-

Sunday through Friday.

Localized urban and small stream flooding is possible as 2-3 inches

of rain is expected Monday and Monday night as Hurricane Irma moves

well west of the area. In addition, frequent wind gusts between 30

and 40 miles an hour will occur Monday through Tuesday. This extended

period of blustery winds may down shallow rooted trees or large tree

branches, resulting in sporadic power outages.

Counties: Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wayne-

Sunday through Friday.

Localized urban and small stream flooding is possible as between one

and two inches of rain is expected Monday and Monday night as

Hurricane Irma moves well west of the area.

Counties: Carteret-Onslow-Outer Banks Dare-Outer Banks Hyde-

Sunday through Friday.

Winds: gusts up to 40 mph.

Rain: 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts will be

possible Monday into Tuesday,

Counties: Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-

Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-

Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-

Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-

Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-

McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-

Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-

Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-

Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-

Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-

Sunday through Friday.

..Sunday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Monday…Tropical Storm hazards possible. Hurricane Irma is

expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves north across

Georgia early next week. Excessive rainfall, strong wind gusts, and

isolated tornadoes will be possible across the western Carolinas and

northeast Georgia as Irma approaches Monday and Monday night.

..Tuesday…Tropical Storm hazards possible.

..Wednesday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Thursday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

..Friday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 

Northwest North Carolina

http://www.weather.gov/rnk/

Counties: Surry-Floyd-Patrick-Franklin-

Sunday through Friday.

Based on the track of Irma, heavy rain is possible and localized

flooding could occur, especially along and near the Blue Ridge.

 

Counties: Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Grayson-Carroll-

Sunday through Friday.

Based on the forecast track of Irma, strong easterly winds may occur

late Monday into early Tuesday, with the higher gusts across the

ridges. Heavy rain is also possible and localized flooding could

occur, especially along and near the Blue Ridge.

 

Counties: Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-

Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-

Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-

Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-

Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,

Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,

Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,

Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,

Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,

Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,

Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,

Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,

Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,

Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 

Eastern North Carolina

Counties: Carteret-Onslow-Outer Banks Dare-Outer Banks Hyde-

Sunday through Friday.

Large swells associated with Hurricane Irma will continue to impact

the coast and build through early next week. Dangerous rip currents

and high surf with possible beach erosion will be experienced this

weekend into early next week.

Gusty winds will develop Monday, and could see gusts up to 40 mph.

Locally heavy rain 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts will be

possible Monday into Tuesday, with best chances across the

southwestern areas.

Written By

Photo of Mark Hoffmann, N.C. Cooperative ExtensionDr. Mark HoffmannSmall Fruits Extension Specialist, Assistant Professor, Strawberry and Grape (919) 352-8006 mark.hoffmann@ncsu.eduHorticultural Science - NC State University
Updated on Sep 9, 2017
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