Hurricane Irma: Forecast for Counties
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Collapse ▲We all send out our prayers and thoughts to our friends in Florida, many of who are currently already in a shelter or had to flee their homes. Although it looks like the Carolinas will be spared for the most part, our weather in the coming week will be highly affected by Hurricane Irma.
Quincy Adams and I were discussing Hurricane Irma while I was visiting his farm today. Prediction models of wind and rainfall for the next few days are now pretty reliable (http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml) and I decided to give an overview of what weather you can expect in your county:
Please look up your region. Many counties, especially in the Northwest North Carolina, are not heavily affected and you might be fine. If you are in a region which is affected by heavy rainfall and/or wind, try to harvest before Monday.
I hope everyone stays safe!
Mark
Tropical Strom Warnings:
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED: Daniel Island – Red Bank Landing – Cainhoy – Goose Creek – Moncks Corner – Saint Stephen – Summerville – Ridgeville – Saint George – Hampton – Estill – Early Branch – Walterboro – Cottageville – Smoaks – Allendale – Martin – Sylvania – Newington – Hilltonia – Millen – Scarboro – Charleston – McClellanville – Edisto Island
* WIND Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 55 mph Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Monday morning until Monday afternoon
* FLOODING RAIN – LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect – Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts
Northeastern South Carolina and Southeastern North Carolina:
Counties: Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Horry-Inland Georgetown
Winds: 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be possible.
Rainfall: Widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected
and may lead to localized flooding in poor drainage areas. Isolated
tornadoes could also develop on the outer periphery of Irma`s
circulation.
Central South Carolina:
Counties: Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Richmond-Burke-McCormick-Newberry-Edgefield-Saluda-Lexington-Richland-Aiken-Barnwell-Orangeburg-Calhoun-Bamberg Including the cities of Lincolnton, Thomson, Martinez, Evans,Hephzibah, Waynesboro, Mccormick, Newberry, Edgefield, Johnston,Saluda, Ridge Spring, Seven Oaks, West Columbia, Cayce,Lexington, Red Bank, Oak Grove, Columbia, Aiken, North Augusta,Barnwell, Williston, Blackville, Orangeburg, Brookdale,St. Matthews, Bamberg, and Denmark …LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 p.m. THIS EVENING TO 8 PMEDT SUNDAY… …HIGH WIND WATCH FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM HURRICANEIRMA IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT… The National Weather Service in Columbia has issued a Lake WindAdvisory, which is in effect from 8 p.m. this evening to 8 p.m. EDTSunday. A High Wind Watch has also been issued. This High WindWatch is in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night. * TIMING…Lake Wind Advisory from 8 p.m. tonight through 8 p.m. Sunday. High Wind Watch from 8 a.m. Monday through 2 a.m. Tuesday. * WINDS…Tonight and Sunday 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Monday and Monday night, 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.
Western North Carolina and Southwest South Carolina
Counties: Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.
Sunday through Friday.
..Sunday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday…Tropical Storm hazards possible. Hurricane Irma is
expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves north across
Georgia early next week. Excessive rainfall, strong wind gusts, and
isolated tornadoes will be possible across the western Carolinas and
northeast Georgia as Irma approaches Monday and Monday night.
..Tuesday…Tropical Storm hazards possible.
..Wednesday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Central North Carolina
Counties: Davidson-Randolph-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
Sunday through Friday.
Localized urban and small stream flooding is possible as 2-3 inches
of rain is expected Monday and Monday night as Hurricane Irma moves
well west of the area. In addition, frequent wind gusts between 30
and 40 miles an hour will occur Monday through Tuesday. This extended
period of blustery winds may down shallow rooted trees or large tree
branches, resulting in sporadic power outages.
Counties: Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wayne-
Sunday through Friday.
Localized urban and small stream flooding is possible as between one
and two inches of rain is expected Monday and Monday night as
Hurricane Irma moves well west of the area.
Counties: Carteret-Onslow-Outer Banks Dare-Outer Banks Hyde-
Sunday through Friday.
Winds: gusts up to 40 mph.
Rain: 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts will be
possible Monday into Tuesday,
Counties: Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
Sunday through Friday.
..Sunday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday…Tropical Storm hazards possible. Hurricane Irma is
expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves north across
Georgia early next week. Excessive rainfall, strong wind gusts, and
isolated tornadoes will be possible across the western Carolinas and
northeast Georgia as Irma approaches Monday and Monday night.
..Tuesday…Tropical Storm hazards possible.
..Wednesday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday…No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Northwest North Carolina
Counties: Surry-Floyd-Patrick-Franklin-
Sunday through Friday.
Based on the track of Irma, heavy rain is possible and localized
flooding could occur, especially along and near the Blue Ridge.
Counties: Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Grayson-Carroll-
Sunday through Friday.
Based on the forecast track of Irma, strong easterly winds may occur
late Monday into early Tuesday, with the higher gusts across the
ridges. Heavy rain is also possible and localized flooding could
occur, especially along and near the Blue Ridge.
Counties: Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Eastern North Carolina
–
Counties: Carteret-Onslow-Outer Banks Dare-Outer Banks Hyde-
Sunday through Friday.
Large swells associated with Hurricane Irma will continue to impact
the coast and build through early next week. Dangerous rip currents
and high surf with possible beach erosion will be experienced this
weekend into early next week.
Gusty winds will develop Monday, and could see gusts up to 40 mph.
Locally heavy rain 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts will be
possible Monday into Tuesday, with best chances across the
southwestern areas.